1529 Venetia Drive · Coronation Park, Oakville

The evidence, before the conversation.

Three homes in this pocket set the reference points for this one. Here is what each of them sold for, every measurable way this house differs from them, and what the Oakville market has been paying for each of those differences.

There is no asking price and no opinion of value on this page, on purpose. Bring your own read, or your agent's. The numbers are here so both sides can start from the same page.

Comparable addresses are withheld. Everything else about each sale is published in full, from assessment and board records.

The comparable sales

Three homes, and what they actually sold for.

The closest matches in size, land, position and age. Prices and days on market are TRREB records; specifications are from each property's own assessment report.

Sale A

$4,750,000

New build, 801 m from the lake

Asked
$5,549,888
Percent of ask
85.6%
Days on market
73 days
Sold
25 May 2026

Its listing photographs show a pool. That pool is a drawing, marked forty by sixteen, design ready. The assessment record shows no pool at the property.

Sale B

$4,900,000

Twelve years old, 368 m from the lake

Asked
$4,998,000
Percent of ask
98.0%
Days on market
1 day
Sold
20 May 2026

It sold in a single day at $4,998,000, after an earlier attempt at $6,125,000 failed to find a buyer.

Sale C

$5,437,000

New build, 712 m from the lake

Asked
$5,675,000
Percent of ask
95.8%
Days on market
11 days
Sold
19 May 2025

The highest price any new build in this pocket has reached, and it sold fifteen months ago.

Side by side

The four homes, on the same measuring stick.

Every row is from the assessment record, so all four are measured the same way. Finished area includes the basement.

 1529 VenetiaThis homeSale A$4,750,000Sale B$4,900,000Sale C$5,437,000
Year built2023202520142024
Above grade4,471 sq ft4,497 sq ft4,636 sq ft3,990 sq ft
Finished basement1,925 sq ft1,976 sq ft2,608 sq ft2,156 sq ft
Total finished6,396 sq ft6,473 sq ft7,244 sq ft6,146 sq ft
Lot16,117 sq ft11,326 sq ft16,553 sq ft11,326 sq ft
Lot in acres0.370.260.380.26
Frontage116.43 ft90.00 ft125.00 ft141.61 ft
Lot shapeOn a curveRegularIrregularCorner
Metres to the lake410 m801 m368 m712 m
Bedrooms5444
Bathrooms5 full, 1 half5 full, 1 half3 full, 2 half5 full, 1 half
Garage535 sq ft, 2 cars390 sq ft, 2 cars679 sq ft, 4 cars482 sq ft, 2 cars
Pool512 sq ftNone680 sq ft512 sq ft
Fireplaces1422

Swipe the table sideways to see every column.

The assessment record dates this home to 2023; the listing describes it as a 2024 build. This table uses the assessment year for all four homes so the comparison sits on one basis.

The record counts bedrooms differently across the four, showing five here and four at each sale. All four homes are four bedrooms above grade with a fifth below, and each of the three sales carries more finished basement than this home. Do not read the bedroom row as a difference.

The differences

Where this home is ahead, and where it is behind.

No home is a perfect match, so both directions are shown. Red favours 1529 Venetia, grey favours the sale it is compared to.

1529 Venetia isagainst Sale ANew build, 801 m from the lakeagainst Sale BTwelve years old, 368 m from the lakeagainst Sale CNew build, 712 m from the lake
Frontage26 ft wider9 ft narrower25 ft narrower
Land4,791 sq ft more436 sq ft less4,791 sq ft more
Distance to the lake391 m closer42 m further302 m closer
Total finished area77 sq ft less848 sq ft less250 sq ft more
Pool512 sq ft against none512 against 680 sq ft=Both have one
Age, this home today against that home on its sale day2 years older9 years younger2 years older

Swipe the table sideways to see every column.

What the differences are worth

Measured on Oakville sales, not assumed.

Fitted on real Oakville transactions with the other characteristics held constant. Each rate carries its sample and the range the record supports. Where two methods disagreed, the more conservative one is published.

The market itself

Down 0.44% a month

About 5.2% a year. Measured like for like, holding size, lot, distance to the water, age, bedrooms and bathrooms constant, so a change in which houses happened to sell cannot move it.

Measured on
1,788 Oakville sales
Range
0.35% to 0.54% a month

Distance to the lake

1.259% per 100 m

Every 100 metres closer to the water adds about 1.26%. The premium concentrates in the first blocks. Inside 400 metres it runs 1.70% per 100 m.

Measured on
228 sales at $3M and up, within 2 km of the water
Range
0.50% to 2.02% per 100 m

Land

$156 a square foot

Land does not price in a straight line. Each additional foot is worth less than the one before it, so a lot 42% larger carries about 14% more land value, not 42%.

Measured on
Sales southwest of Rebecca, at an 11,601 sq ft median lot
Range
Total land value moves with lot size to the power of 0.363

Finished area

3% for every 10% more

Ten per cent more finished space adds about 3% to the price, not 10%. Square footage carries far less weight at this level than most pricing assumes.

Measured on
228 sales at $3M and up
Range
1.4% to 4.4% for every 10% more

A pool

6.24%

Measured on large homes, where a pool reads as expected rather than as a bonus. A second method across 29 matched groups puts it at 6.5%.

Measured on
362 sales of homes 4,000 sq ft and larger
Range
0.47% to 12.00%

Age

0.624% a year

The smallest adjustment here, and the one most people overestimate. Holding size, lot, position, bedrooms, bathrooms and pool constant, two years of age is worth about 1.2%.

Measured on
732 Oakville sales, homes up to thirty years old
Range
0.450% to 0.797% a year

What the tape measure misses

Buyers here pay for new, well beyond the specification.

Price all 228 sales at three million and up on their measurable features, then apply that model to these three. The two new builds beat it badly. The twelve-year-old landed on it.

SaleWhat the features predictWhat it actually sold forGap
Sale ANew build$4,235,332$4,750,000+12.2%
Sale CNew build$4,454,713$5,437,000+22.1%
Sale BTwelve years old$4,780,102$4,900,000+2.5%

Swipe the table sideways to see every column.

Whatever buyers here pay for a new house is not captured by size, land or position. It is already inside both new sale prices, and it is missing from the twelve-year-old. 1529 Venetia was built in 2023. Where a three-year-old home sits between those two behaviours is the largest open question in any comparison of these three sales, and it is worth more than every other adjustment on this page put together.

Frontage

Wider lots sell for more, at every step.

Frontage is measured on the listing rather than reported as a band, so it compares directly. This home has 116.43 ft.

FrontageSalesMedian sale priceMost common size
Under 50 ft746$1,800,0002,500 to 3,000 sq ft
50 to 64 ft570$1,915,0002,500 to 3,000 sq ft
65 to 79 ft201$2,260,0003,000 to 3,500 sq ft
80 to 99 ft101$2,375,0003,500 to 5,000 sq ft
100 to 124 ftThis home110$3,200,0003,500 to 5,000 sq ft
125 ft and up41$3,320,0005,000 sq ft and over

Swipe the table sideways to see every column.

The market

At three million and up, prices are down 11.6% since April 2024.

A median moves when the mix of houses moves, so this compares like with like. Across 1,788 Oakville sales that gives 0.44% a month, about 5.2% a year.

The same house, tracked month by month, April 2024 to August 2026. This is an index of the market at three million and up, not a valuation of any one property.

April 2024 · $4,349,096August 2026 · $3,842,826

There is no price per square foot on this page. The board records living area as a range, not a measurement, so any price per foot divides a real price by the midpoint of a bracket. The figure above uses 1,788 sales and holds the house constant instead.

Every sale, not just the three

Southwest Oakville in 2026, in full.

Every detached home in this pocket that closed at three and a half million or more this year, published whole so the choice of three comparables can be checked.

Sold forClosedAgeTo the lake
$4,900,000Sale B20 May12 years368 m
$4,750,000Sale A25 May1 year801 m
$4,625,00019 Mar16 to 30 years289 m
$4,500,0003 Jun0 to 5 years224 m
$4,200,0008 Apr6 to 15 years649 m
$4,000,00015 JulNew278 m
$3,875,00030 Jul16 to 30 years185 m
$3,500,00020 Apr0 to 5 years591 m

Swipe the table sideways to see every column.

Where every figure comes from

Check any of it.

Nothing here is an estimate and nothing is rounded to make a point. Every figure traces to a record.

Property facts
MPAC Residential Detail Report for each of the four homes. This lot is irregular and sits on a curve, so frontage times depth overstates it. The record settles the area at 0.37 of an acre, 16,117 square feet.
Sale prices, asking prices and days on market
TRREB records for each transaction.
The rates
Fitted on TRREB sales, holding the other characteristics constant. Sample sizes and ranges sit beside every rate.
What is deliberately absent
No opinion of value for 1529 Venetia Drive. This page publishes the evidence and stops. Price is a conversation to have with the numbers in front of both sides.

Listed By

Keith Godding · THE AGENCY.

Local enough to know Coronation Park. Global enough to find the buyer who lives somewhere else.

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Keith Godding, Sales Representative at THE AGENCY

Keith Godding

Sales Representative · THE AGENCY

Eight years in the GTA market. Keith specializes in properties that need more than a sign on the lawn, and buyers who expect more than a listing sheet.

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